Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.964940 2.252939 2.570996 2.948723 3.385643 3.875814 4.468360
2025-06-01 1.532610 1.919999 2.389322 3.001692 3.782509 4.748644 6.040690
2025-06-08 1.305178 1.735774 2.291215 3.064131 4.118160 5.514335 7.518874
2025-06-15 1.129881 1.576710 2.183042 3.072123 4.353113 6.147897 8.881169
2025-06-22 0.976508 1.419377 2.046761 3.008790 4.461928 6.599029 10.024679
2025-06-29 0.863023 1.300630 1.944746 2.972727 4.592768 7.081859 11.261607
2025-07-06 0.764464 1.190085 1.838487 2.911350 4.668420 7.477732 12.400306
2025-07-13 0.730682 1.173960 1.872288 3.069321 5.105251 8.490870 14.678961
2025-07-20 0.670093 1.107333 1.817092 3.072894 5.282684 9.090235 16.321310
2025-07-27 0.634482 1.077323 1.817281 3.167379 5.623050 10.003549 18.641337
2025-08-03 0.587749 1.023060 1.769987 3.171873 5.800830 10.643445 20.532087
2025-08-10 0.543319 0.968027 1.715165 3.155353 5.935344 11.214649 22.360178
2025-08-17 0.486584 0.889781 1.619126 3.067690 5.956244 11.633659 24.080739
2025-08-24 0.453713 0.852824 1.596437 3.121096 6.268794 12.687881 27.344767
2025-08-31 0.426168 0.822314 1.581506 3.186255 6.611654 13.849788 31.040480
2025-09-07 0.395319 0.781614 1.541637 3.194580 6.835018 14.789390 34.398030
2025-09-14 0.360343 0.728624 1.470970 3.128576 6.886817 15.358415 36.981786
2025-09-21 0.332023 0.686123 1.416868 3.090992 6.995862 16.070809 40.041186
2025-09-28 0.304395 0.642064 1.354556 3.027032 7.034574 16.623000 42.793066
2025-10-05 0.298388 0.643781 1.390655 3.191660 7.638188 18.627157 49.738699
2025-10-12 0.280140 0.616541 1.359851 3.195384 7.848824 19.684996 54.308370
2025-10-19 0.270294 0.607129 1.368100 3.293860 8.311579 21.460878 61.256147
2025-10-26 0.254784 0.583043 1.339841 3.298544 8.532177 22.629789 66.659108